Nepal's Development Plans (1985 - 2019 )

                                                            1.Introduction

A plan is a set of thing or activities to operate in systematic order to achieve definite target or objectives. In other words, the process of making plans, to meet definite goods in planning. Development planning is closely related to economic activities of a nation. Therefore, it is known as economic planning. Economic planning is a mechanism for economic coordination contrasted with the market mechanism the economic plan refers to the development plan which targets to promote economic development and to achieve national goals. The concept of developing planning was first introduced in 1917 A.D. in former Soviet Union. It became very popular after the end of 1930s great depression and Second World War. The systematic development planning in Nepal was started in 2013 B.S which was for five years (2013 B.S. to 2018 B.S.). In short, economic planning may be defined as the deliberate control and direction of the economy by the state for achieving certain targets and objectives with in a schedule time.Planning can be undertaken at the national, subnational or multinational levels. Multinational plans straddle more than one country or national jurisdiction, and may include a whole regional bloc (e.g. the African Union Agenda 2063). Sub-national plans, on the other hand, refer to the development plans of provinces, localities and other decentralized bodies within a nation. The priorities and characteristics of a development plan are country-specific, and evolve over time in the same country. The priorities and institutional structures that underpin planning in underdeveloped or developing countries are likely to differ from those of advanced countries. Development plans also vary depending on their ideological basis. Planning in socialist economies is markedly different from planning in mixed economies. Overall, while access to resources, availability of skills and managerial and technical competence are important elements in the operationalization of a plan, the operational fate of a development plan often hinges on the institutional capacities of the country and its level of development.

                                             2. Development Planning in Nepalese Context  

Nepal began its move toward an open, market-oriented economy in the mid-1980s with the adoption of policies involving greater liberalization of the domestic economy and trade. Interest rates were partially deregulated and barriers to entry for joint-venture banks were lowered. Relations with the People’s Republic of China were also strengthened during these years. A trail of reforms followed in the 1990s and early 2000s, particularly to improve the financial sector, improve access to microcredit, and strengthen government institutions. These reforms included the Co-operative Act of 1991, the Development Bank Act of 1995, the Financial Intermediary Societies Act of 1998, the establishment of the Rural Self-Reliance Fund in 1990, the establishment of Grameen-like regional rural development banks in 1992, and the establishment of the Rural Microfinance Development Center in 1998 Besides, several laws were passed in the early 1990s to improve the capabilities of institutions in the power sector, such as the Hydropower Development Policy and Electricity Act of 1992. In the mid-1990s, Nepal was hit by political instability, double-digit inflation and ballooning external debt, and a current account deficit. To address the fiscal deficit, several tax reforms were passed, including introducing a value-added tax in 1997 to cover a wide range of businesses. This was followed by the new income tax and new excise tax laws, and establishment of the Large Taxpayer Office in the early to mid-2000s. Revenue generation generally shifted from customs duties to the value-added tax and other sources. Several laws were also passed to improve the banking sector, particularly the credit culture. Some of the salient laws include the Nepal Rastra Bank Act, the new Directive on Credit Information and Blacklisting in 2002, and the new Bank and Financial Institutions Ordinance in 2004. (ADB, 2009)

Other key reforms accomplished include privatization of state enterprises, greater flexibility of the currency, and a trade policy that has increasingly abandoned import substitution in favor of export promotion (ADB 2002). These reforms helped pave the way toward Nepal’s membership to the World Trade Organization in 2004. Another major institutional reform has been adopting a planning approach to development. This began in Nepal in 1956 with the formulation of the First Five Year Plan (FYP), 1957–1961. Nepal’s FYPs generally set the government’s overall goal and specific targets for the medium term. While the plans have different priorities, they usually have common objectives—to increase output and employment; develop infrastructure; attain economic stability; promote the industry, commerce, and international trade; establish administrative and public service institutions to support economic development, and introduce labor-intensive production techniques to alleviate underemployment. The social goals of the plans were to improve health and education as well as to encourage equitable income distribution. Ten FYPs have been implemented and the Three Year Interim Plan (2007/08–2009/10) is currently being carried out (NPC various years). The first four FYPs emphasized the development of infrastructure, especially roads and electricity. Under the Fifth and Sixth FYPs, emphasis shifted toward agriculture and industry. Poverty reduction has been explicitly stated as a development objective since the Sixth FYP (1980–1985). Poverty alleviation was a major objective of the Eighth FYP (1993–1997), the first national plan formulated after the restoration of multiparty democracy in 1991. The Ninth FYP (1998–2002) adopted poverty alleviation as its sole objective. And the Tenth FYP was generally based on the Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (NPC various years). Table 1 summarizes the thrusts in the FYPs since 1986

While poverty reduction has always been an overriding concern in development planning in Nepal, only since the Sixth FYP (1981–1985) has it been explicitly stated it as a development objective. The Ninth FYP (1998–2002) adopted poverty alleviation as its sole objective and intended to reduce poverty through (1) sustained and broad-based growth, (2) development of rural infrastructure and high priority social sectors, and (3) specific programs targeting the poor. The FYPs recognize accountability, democratic systems, and market-oriented economic structures that avow social and ecological responsibility as key factors in sustaining growth. A comprehensive poverty reduction strategy was developed and fully integrated into the Tenth FYP (2003–2007).

Table 1: Nepal's Development Plan and Policy Highlights

Nepal's Development Plan

Policy  Highlights

Seventh Five Year Plan (1986-1990)

 

 

 

 

 

·         During the Seventh Five Year Plan (FYP) period (1986–1990), the Government formulated its Program for the Fulfillment of Basic Needs, the first separate plan for reducing poverty. This ambitious long-term program envisaged eliminating poverty in Nepal for 15 years. It targeted increasing productivity of all sectors, expanding opportunities for productive employment, and fulfilling the minimum basic needs of the people. However, the FYP was later abandoned during the period of political upheaval. The Seventh FYP proposed expenditures of NRs29 billion. It encouraged private sector participation in the economy (less than NRs 22 billion) and local government participation (NRs 2 billion)

·         Because of the political upheavals in mid-1990, the new government postponed formulating the next plan. The July 1990 budget speech of the minister of finance, however, implied that, for the interim, the goals of the seventh FYP were to be continued. During this period, foreign aid was expected to play a major role in development; thus, approximately NRs 11.8 billion, or 44.4 percent of the total budget of NRs 26.6 billion, was expected to be derived from foreign loans or grants.

 

Eighth Five Year Plan (1993–1997)

 

·         Poverty alleviation was a major objective of the Eighth FYP, the first national plan formulated after the restoration of multiparty democracy in 1991.

Ninth Five Year Plan ( 1998–2002)

·         The Ninth FYP adopted poverty alleviation as its sole objective and, unlike previous plans, established long-term goals for improving development indicators in all sectors based on the potential of each for reducing poverty. One of the goals of the Ninth FYP was to lower the poverty incidence from 42 percent to 32 percent by the end of the plan period in 2002, with a long-term goal of reducing this to 10 percent within the coming 2 decades. In addition to these targets, the FYP identified several other variables relating to “human poverty” (literacy, infant mortality, maternal mortality, and average life expectancy at birth) as opposed to “income poverty,” and set target levels for each of them.

·         The Ninth FYP intended to reduce poverty through (1) sustained and broad-based growth, (2) development of rural infrastructure and social priority sectors, and (3) specific programs targeting the poor. In addition to integrating the “moderately poor” into the mainstream and providing targeted assistance to extremely poor households, the Ninth FYP included components to benefit the poor, the two most important being maintaining macroeconomic stability and restructuring government finances to increase the flow of resources to the social sectors

Tenth Five Year Plan (2002–2007)

·         The Tenth FYP set a target to reduce the poverty level to 30 percent. A 10 percent improvement in Nepal’s human development index ranking is expected due to the improved social indicators. In the context of development goals, 6.2 percent economic growth was targeted.

·         The strategy of the Tenth FYP was to implement self-employment creating, income-earning, and social protection programs that directly benefit economically, geographically, and socially disadvantaged groups and castes, disabled and helpless people, and people living below the poverty line. The Ninth FYP focused on (1) high, sustainable, and broad-based economic growth; (2) social sector and infrastructure development; (3) targeted programs; and (4) good governance.

Three Year Interim Plan,(2007/08 2009/10)

·         The Interim Plan’s main goal is to lay the foundation for economic and social transformation to build a prosperous, modern, and just Nepal by supporting the establishment of peace and reducing unemployment, poverty, and inequality in the country.

·         The plan’s strategy includes (1) giving special emphasis to relief, reconstruction, and reintegration; (2) achieving employment-oriented, pro-poor, and broad-based economic growth; (3) promoting good governance and effective service delivery; (4) increasing investment in physical infrastructure; (5) emphasizing social development; and (6) adopting an inclusive development process and carrying out targeted programs.

Twelfth year   Plan(2010/11-2012/13)

·         The twelfth year  plan has a vision of graduating Nepal from LDC category to a developing country status by 2022. It is consistent with the Istanbul Plan of Action, an outcome of the UNLDC, IV meeting held in Istanbul on 9-13 May 2011.

·         The government is targeting an average growth rate of 6.0% over the next three years, with agriculture sector growth and non-agriculture sector growth at 4.5% and 6.7% respectively. It is combined with mining and quarrying, and the combined growth target is 4.7%. Mining and quarrying itself was growing at over 5% in the last few years.

·         The government is targeting to reduce proportion of population living below the national poverty line to 18% from 25.2% in FY 2011 and an estimated 23.8% in FY 2013, net enrolment rate at primary education target is 100% from 95.3% in FY 2013, and area under forest cover is targeted at 40%, marginally up from 39.6% in FY 2013.

·         Of the total investment required to realize the growth rate, the government is expecting the private sector to contribute 68.7%. The government is expecting 100% private sector investment in real estate, rent and commercial services, and construction.

·         The government is targeting average annual revenue growth rate (FY 2013 constant price) of 13.8%. Based on the assumption that at the end of FY 2013, revenue will be 17% of GDP, the government is targeting revenue of 21.1 % of GDP by FY2016.

Thirteen Year Plan(2013/14-2014/15)

·         The thirteen year plan's main goal is to decrease the proportion of the population living below the poverty line to 18 percent point.

·         The plan's strategy includes (1) develop physical infrastructure (2) the increment of access uses and quality in social services (3) promotion of good governance in public and other sectors (4) conduction of development activities favorable to climate change (5) Enhances access to social services and improve the use quality of those services.

Fourteen Year Plan (2016/17-2018/19)

·         The fourteen year plan's main goal is to reach the level of middle income country through welfare state with social justice.

·         The plan's strategy includes (1) to increase production by transformation of the agriculture sector and expansion of tourism, industrial and small and medium enterprises (2) to build infrastructure for energy, road and air transport, information and communication and rural-urban and development of trilateral connectivity (3) to achieve high and sustainable reform in human development by emphasizing on social development and social security as well as social protection (4) to promote overall good governance by economic, social and governance reform, efficient and accountable public finance , clean, transparent and people friendly public service as well as protecting and promoting human rights  (5) to enhance institutional capacity along with gender equality, inclusion, environment protection and maximum use of science and technology.

Source: National Planning Commission (Various Year)

                                        3. Development Plan Formation Process and Functions

Plan formation is a challenging issue because it's success, usually depends on it rationality and appropriateness. In Nepal Development council (NDC) gives direction to NPC (National Planning Commission)   in plan formulation the process of plan formulation in Nepal consists of the following activities.

Table 2: Process of Plan Formulation in Nepal

S.N

Activities

Explanation

1

Past Plan and estimation of new Plan

At the time of making new plans, NPC evaluates past and current plans; it gives the clear ideas and projections for making new plans. On the process of evaluation drawbacks should be changed with improvement and should be included unsuccessful plans and policies in new plans.

2

Collection and proposal of new project

NPC collects project proposal from each District Development committee (DDC). District level government organization also sent proposals through their respective ministries. Then, NPC presents all proposals including some proposals propose by himself to NDC.

3

Discussion

Discussion is one of the most important steps in plan formulation. NDC, NPC, ministries, secretaries, Experts of concern field, NGO, representatives of donor agencies etc. take part on discussion. Then, NPC prepares plan document according to the conclusion derived from discussion.

4

Determination of objectives, targets and priorities

Objectives should be determined in a complete plan document to meet the desired goal according to the economic condition. For good development plan, target and priorities should be determined which guide the overall activities and programs during the purposed plan period.

5

Authorization and implementation of plan

The final plan document prepared to NPC for Authorization. After the authorization, it is presented to the cabinet for its approval. Finally, the plan is executed after the cabinet approval. Then, the plan is implemented in association with government, private sectors, NGOs and general public.

6.

Monitoring and Evaluation

Monitoring and Evaluation is necessary in the process of plan formulation. It helps to determine the success by evaluating the implemented plan whether plan whether it is according to objectives, strategies of plan or not.



Table 3: Four Functions of Development Planning -Practiced in Nepal


S.N.

Function of Development Planning

Explanation

1.

Long Term Vision; Formulation of Policies Plans:

·         Formulates national policies and priorities, and management systems for change and development.

·         Decides duration of plan (short-term, medium-term, & long-term); and formulates periodic and annual development plans.

·         Formulates goals and long-term targets, objectives, strategies, policies, and sectoral priorities.

·         Sets sectoral indicators, sectoral activities, & modalities

·         Approves sectoral programs & projects (features: multi-sectoral; and longer period (BEP; ADS; PAF)

·         Allocates resources according to national priorities; and sets strategies for resource mobilization (foreign, domestic, and local)

·         MTEF process contribute to realistic priority setting and resources estimation

·         Allocates resources for plans, programs and projects at national and sub-national levels.

2.

Monitoring and Evaluation

·         Assess the effectiveness and efficiency in implementation and provide feedback in improving formulation of plan, programs, projects and allocation of resources.

3.

Vertical Coordination with Provincial and Local Governments

·         Focuses on the agglomeration of programs of macro, meso, and micro levels; Manage institutional coordination and sets implementation strategies

4.

Research and Study

·         Assess the effectiveness and efficiency in implementation and provide feedback in improving formulation of plan, programs, projects and allocation of resources.



                                                    4.Summary and Conclusion

Therefore,Development planning implies an element of coordination and priority-setting to achieve a stated objective. The relative roles of Governments and markets in carrying out these tasks determine the extent to which a plan can be described as centrally planned or indicative. Different countries have adopted different approaches to planning underpinned by ideological preferences. However, unlike developed countries, where planning seeks to fine-tune the economy, planning in developing and crisis-affected countries is tasked with a more transformative role, owing to the pervasive institutional weaknesses and market failures that exist there.





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